2026 · week 6 slate

Week 6 Predictions

Projected scores and win probabilities from the Split Row ratings through week 5. A 3-point home-field edge is applied except at neutral sites. Numbers next to team names are division ranks when a team is in its division's Top 25. Not betting advice. How predictions work

Week 6 · 57 games shown

Wed, Oct 7, 7:00 PM EDTFifth Third Stadium · Conf
Jacksonville State
3-2 · C-USA · FBS
53.3% · favorite
Predicted score 33
Projected
33–31
O/U 64.2
Kennesaw Statehome
1-3 · C-USA · FBS
46.7%
Predicted score 31
53.3%win probability46.7%
Wed, Oct 7, 7:30 PM EDTPitbull Stadium · Conf
New Mexico State
2-3 · C-USA · FBS
34.3%
Predicted score 17
Projected
17–25
O/U 42.7
FIUhome
2-2 · C-USA · FBS
65.7% · favorite
Predicted score 25
34.3%win probability65.7%
Thu, Oct 8, 7:00 PM EDTWilliams Stadium (VA) · Conf
Sam Houston
1-3 · C-USA · FBS
26.7%
Predicted score 24
Projected
24–37
O/U 60.3
Libertyhome
4-1 · C-USA · FBS
73.3% · favorite
Predicted score 37
26.7%win probability73.3%
Thu, Oct 8, 7:00 PM EDTHouchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium · Conf
Missouri State
1-3 · C-USA · FBS
46.0%
Predicted score 27
Projected
27–29
O/U 55.7
Western Kentuckyhome
1-4 · C-USA · FBS
54.0% · favorite
Predicted score 29
46.0%win probability54.0%
Thu, Oct 8, 7:30 PM EDTAlamodome · Conf
South Florida
4-1 · American · FBS
36.5%
Predicted score 21
Projected
21–28
O/U 48.9
UTSAhome
4-1 · American · FBS
63.5% · favorite
Predicted score 28
36.5%win probability63.5%
Thu, Oct 8, 7:30 PM EDTCentennial Bank Stadium · Conf
South Alabama
3-2 · Sun Belt · FBS
41.8%
Predicted score 33
Projected
33–37
O/U 69.8
Arkansas Statehome
2-3 · Sun Belt · FBS
58.2% · favorite
Predicted score 37
41.8%win probability58.2%
Fri, Oct 9, 7:00 PM EDTL&N Federal Credit Union Stadium · Conf
Florida State
3-2 · ACC · FBS
53.5% · favorite
Predicted score 32
Projected
32–30
O/U 61.3
Louisvillehome
2-3 · ACC · FBS
46.5%
Predicted score 30
53.5%win probability46.5%
Fri, Oct 9, 9:00 PM EDTHusky Stadium · Conf
#21Iowa
4-1 · Big Ten · FBS
71.7% · favorite
Predicted score 28
Projected
28–16
O/U 43.9
Washingtonhome
3-2 · Big Ten · FBS
28.3%
Predicted score 16
71.7%win probability28.3%
Fri, Oct 9, 9:00 PM EDTMaverik Stadium · Conf
Washington State
1-4 · Pac-12 · FBS
36.5%
Predicted score 15
Projected
15–22
O/U 37.4
Utah Statehome
1-4 · Pac-12 · FBS
63.4% · favorite
Predicted score 22
36.5%win probability63.4%
Fri, Oct 9, 9:00 PM EDTCEFCU Stadium · Conf
Wyoming
2-3 · MWC · FBS
34.7%
Predicted score 18
Projected
18–26
O/U 43.3
San Jose Statehome
3-2 · MWC · FBS
65.3% · favorite
Predicted score 26
34.7%win probability65.3%
Fri, Oct 9, 10:15 PM EDTLaVell Edwards Stadium · Conf
Iowa State
3-2 · Big 12 · FBS
29.3%
Predicted score 23
Projected
23–34
O/U 56.1
#11BYUhome
4-0 · Big 12 · FBS
70.7% · favorite
Predicted score 34
29.3%win probability70.7%
Sat, Oct 10, 12:00 PM EDTMemorial Stadium · Conf
Texas A&M
3-2 · SEC · FBS
15.7%
Predicted score 10
Projected
10–31
O/U 41.7
#6Missourihome
4-1 · SEC · FBS
84.3% · favorite
Predicted score 31
15.7%win probability84.3%
Sat, Oct 10, 12:00 PM EDTMilan Puskar Stadium · Conf
#24Arizona
4-1 · Big 12 · FBS
59.4% · favorite
Predicted score 35
Projected
35–31
O/U 65.8
West Virginiahome
3-2 · Big 12 · FBS
40.6%
Predicted score 31
59.4%win probability40.6%
Sat, Oct 10, 12:00 PM EDTBoone Pickens Stadium · Conf
UCF
3-2 · Big 12 · FBS
33.6%
Predicted score 18
Projected
18–27
O/U 45.0
#18Oklahoma Statehome
3-1 · Big 12 · FBS
66.4% · favorite
Predicted score 27
33.6%win probability66.4%
Sat, Oct 10, 12:00 PM EDTAcrisure Stadium · Conf
North Carolina
2-2 · ACC · FBS
12.0%
Predicted score 18
Projected
18–43
O/U 61.6
#4Pittsburghhome
5-0 · ACC · FBS
88.0% · favorite
Predicted score 43
12.0%win probability88.0%
Sat, Oct 10, 12:00 PM EDTCarter-Finley Stadium · Conf
Wake Forest
4-1 · ACC · FBS
49.9%
Predicted score 28
Projected
28–28
O/U 56.2
NC Statehome
3-2 · ACC · FBS
50.1% · favorite
Predicted score 28
49.9%win probability50.1%
Sat, Oct 10, 12:00 PM EDTMemorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) · Conf
#9Indiana
5-0 · Big Ten · FBS
57.1% · favorite
Predicted score 25
Projected
25–21
O/U 45.4
Nebraskahome
5-0 · Big Ten · FBS
42.9%
Predicted score 21
57.1%win probability42.9%
Sat, Oct 10, 12:00 PM EDTMichie Stadium · Conf
Tulane
2-2 · American · FBS
48.4%
Predicted score 29
Projected
29–30
O/U 59.6
Armyhome
2-2 · American · FBS
51.6% · favorite
Predicted score 30
48.4%win probability51.6%
Sat, Oct 10, 12:00 PM EDTDoyt L. Perry Stadium · Conf
Sacramento State
1-4 · MAC · FBS
37.0%
Predicted score 21
Projected
21–28
O/U 49.4
Bowling Greenhome
1-4 · MAC · FBS
63.0% · favorite
Predicted score 28
37.0%win probability63.0%
Sat, Oct 10, 12:30 PM EDTRyan Field
Ball State
1-4 · MAC · FBS
4.5%
Predicted score 12
Projected
12–50
O/U 62.5
#16Northwesternhome
3-1 · Big Ten · FBS
95.5% · favorite
Predicted score 50
4.5%win probability95.5%
Sat, Oct 10, 12:45 PM EDTBen Hill Griffin Stadium · Conf
South Carolina
2-3 · SEC · FBS
13.7%
Predicted score 20
Projected
20–43
O/U 62.0
#8Floridahome
4-1 · SEC · FBS
86.3% · favorite
Predicted score 43
13.7%win probability86.3%
Sat, Oct 10, 1:00 PM EDTKidd Brewer Stadium · Conf
Old Dominion
1-4 · Sun Belt · FBS
33.3%
Predicted score 20
Projected
20–29
O/U 48.6
Appalachian Statehome
3-1 · Sun Belt · FBS
66.7% · favorite
Predicted score 29
33.3%win probability66.7%
Sat, Oct 10, 2:00 PM EDTWarren McGuirk Alumni Stadium · Conf
Miami (OH)
2-3 · MAC · FBS
39.7%
Predicted score 27
Projected
27–32
O/U 58.4
UMasshome
4-1 · MAC · FBS
60.3% · favorite
Predicted score 32
39.7%win probability60.3%
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM EDTCotton Bowl · Conf · Neutral
#2Texas
4-0 · SEC · FBS
88.1% · favorite
Predicted score 32
Projected
32–7
O/U 39.0
Oklahomahome
2-2 · SEC · FBS
11.9%
Predicted score 7
88.1%win probability11.9%
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM EDTFirstBank Stadium · Conf
#22Ole Miss
3-1 · SEC · FBS
60.5% · favorite
Predicted score 32
Projected
32–27
O/U 58.3
Vanderbilthome
3-2 · SEC · FBS
39.5%
Predicted score 27
60.5%win probability39.5%
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM EDTBill Snyder Family Stadium · Conf
#13Houston
4-1 · Big 12 · FBS
67.5% · favorite
Predicted score 36
Projected
36–27
O/U 62.5
Kansas Statehome
3-1 · Big 12 · FBS
32.5%
Predicted score 27
67.5%win probability32.5%
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM EDTBobby Dodd Stadium · Conf
Duke
4-0 · ACC · FBS
73.5% · favorite
Predicted score 33
Projected
33–20
O/U 52.2
Georgia Techhome
1-3 · ACC · FBS
26.5%
Predicted score 20
73.5%win probability26.5%
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM EDTNotre Dame Stadium
Stanford
2-3 · ACC · FBS
4.7%
Predicted score 10
Projected
10–48
O/U 57.5
#3Notre Damehome
5-0 · Ind. · FBS
95.3% · favorite
Predicted score 48
4.7%win probability95.3%
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM EDTCalifornia Memorial Stadium · Conf
Virginia Tech
4-1 · ACC · FBS
76.1% · favorite
Predicted score 39
Projected
39–24
O/U 62.5
Californiahome
2-3 · ACC · FBS
23.9%
Predicted score 24
76.1%win probability23.9%
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM EDTSpartan Stadium · Conf
Illinois
2-3 · Big Ten · FBS
48.0%
Predicted score 28
Projected
28–29
O/U 57.8
Michigan Statehome
2-3 · Big Ten · FBS
52.0% · favorite
Predicted score 29
48.0%win probability52.0%
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM EDTAutzen Stadium · Conf
#23UCLA
4-0 · Big Ten · FBS
39.9%
Predicted score 23
Projected
23–29
O/U 51.9
#17Oregonhome
3-1 · Big Ten · FBS
60.1% · favorite
Predicted score 29
39.9%win probability60.1%
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM EDTDATCU Stadium · Conf
Charlotte
0-5 · American · FBS
14.6%
Predicted score 19
Projected
19–41
O/U 60.7
North Texashome
3-2 · American · FBS
85.4% · favorite
Predicted score 41
14.6%win probability85.4%
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM EDTNavy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium · Conf
Tulsa
3-2 · American · FBS
67.7% · favorite
Predicted score 27
Projected
27–17
O/U 43.8
Navyhome
1-3 · American · FBS
32.3%
Predicted score 17
67.7%win probability32.3%
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM EDTInfoCision Stadium · Conf
Eastern Michigan
3-3 · MAC · FBS
55.3% · favorite
Predicted score 33
Projected
33–31
O/U 63.9
Akronhome
1-4 · MAC · FBS
44.7%
Predicted score 31
55.3%win probability44.7%
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM EDTGlass Bowl · Conf
Buffalo
2-3 · MAC · FBS
30.3%
Predicted score 26
Projected
26–36
O/U 61.6
Toledohome
4-1 · MAC · FBS
69.7% · favorite
Predicted score 36
30.3%win probability69.7%
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM EDTPeden Stadium · Conf
Central Michigan
3-2 · MAC · FBS
45.1%
Predicted score 28
Projected
28–30
O/U 58.1
Ohiohome
3-2 · MAC · FBS
54.9% · favorite
Predicted score 30
45.1%win probability54.9%
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM EDTWaldo Stadium · Conf
Kent State
2-3 · MAC · FBS
32.3%
Predicted score 19
Projected
19–28
O/U 47.4
Western Michiganhome
3-2 · MAC · FBS
67.7% · favorite
Predicted score 28
32.3%win probability67.7%
Sat, Oct 10, 3:45 PM EDTLincoln Financial Field
UConn
2-3 · Ind. · FBS
41.7%
Predicted score 31
Projected
31–35
O/U 65.7
Templehome
2-3 · American · FBS
58.3% · favorite
Predicted score 35
41.7%win probability58.3%
Sat, Oct 10, 4:00 PM EDTDowdy-Ficklen Stadium · Conf
Rice
1-4 · American · FBS
30.7%
Predicted score 19
Projected
19–29
O/U 47.9
East Carolinahome
2-2 · American · FBS
69.3% · favorite
Predicted score 29
30.7%win probability69.3%
Sat, Oct 10, 4:15 PM EDTRazorback Stadium · Conf
#15Tennessee
4-1 · SEC · FBS
79.5% · favorite
Predicted score 39
Projected
39–22
O/U 61.8
Arkansashome
2-3 · SEC · FBS
20.5%
Predicted score 22
79.5%win probability20.5%
Sat, Oct 10, 4:15 PM EDTOhio Stadium · Conf
Maryland
2-3 · Big Ten · FBS
13.7%
Predicted score 18
Projected
18–41
O/U 59.0
#5Ohio Statehome
4-1 · Big Ten · FBS
86.3% · favorite
Predicted score 41
13.7%win probability86.3%
Sat, Oct 10, 6:00 PM EDTReser Stadium · Conf
San Diego State
2-3 · Pac-12 · FBS
27.9%
Predicted score 15
Projected
15–27
O/U 41.3
Oregon Statehome
3-2 · Pac-12 · FBS
72.1% · favorite
Predicted score 27
27.9%win probability72.1%
Sat, Oct 10, 7:00 PM EDTKroger Field · Conf
#25LSU
4-1 · SEC · FBS
47.4%
Predicted score 21
Projected
21–23
O/U 43.6
Kentuckyhome
4-1 · SEC · FBS
52.6% · favorite
Predicted score 23
47.4%win probability52.6%
Sat, Oct 10, 7:00 PM EDTSimmons Bank Liberty Stadium · Conf
UAB
3-2 · American · FBS
35.6%
Predicted score 25
Projected
25–32
O/U 57.0
Memphishome
4-1 · American · FBS
64.4% · favorite
Predicted score 32
35.6%win probability64.4%
Sat, Oct 10, 7:00 PM EDTSun Bowl · Conf
Nevada
1-3 · MWC · FBS
52.2% · favorite
Predicted score 29
Projected
29–28
O/U 56.9
UTEPhome
1-4 · MWC · FBS
47.8%
Predicted score 28
52.2%win probability47.8%
Sat, Oct 10, 7:00 PM EDTAllegiant Stadium · Conf
North Dakota State
5-0 · MWC · FBS
63.4% · favorite
Predicted score 22
Projected
22–15
O/U 36.4
UNLVhome
3-2 · MWC · FBS
36.6%
Predicted score 15
63.4%win probability36.6%
Sat, Oct 10, 7:00 PM EDTJoan C. Edwards Stadium · Conf
Coastal Carolina
1-4 · Sun Belt · FBS
35.3%
Predicted score 30
Projected
30–37
O/U 66.5
Marshallhome
3-2 · Sun Belt · FBS
64.8% · favorite
Predicted score 37
35.3%win probability64.8%
Sat, Oct 10, 7:30 PM EDTBryant-Denny Stadium · Conf
#12Georgia
5-0 · SEC · FBS
20.2%
Predicted score 25
Projected
25–42
O/U 66.8
#1Alabamahome
5-0 · SEC · FBS
79.8% · favorite
Predicted score 42
20.2%win probability79.8%
Sat, Oct 10, 7:30 PM EDTScott Stadium · Conf
Syracuse
2-2 · ACC · FBS
44.9%
Predicted score 17
Projected
17–19
O/U 36.3
Virginiahome
3-2 · ACC · FBS
55.1% · favorite
Predicted score 19
44.9%win probability55.1%
Sat, Oct 10, 7:30 PM EDTBeaver Stadium · Conf
USC
5-1 · Big Ten · FBS
55.1% · favorite
Predicted score 33
Projected
33–30
O/U 62.5
Penn Statehome
3-2 · Big Ten · FBS
44.9%
Predicted score 30
55.1%win probability44.9%
Sat, Oct 10, 7:30 PM EDTHuskie Stadium · Conf
Air Force
3-1 · MWC · FBS
68.8% · favorite
Predicted score 31
Projected
31–21
O/U 52.2
Northern Illinoishome
0-4 · MWC · FBS
31.2%
Predicted score 21
68.8%win probability31.2%
Sat, Oct 10, 7:30 PM EDTAllen E. Paulson Stadium · Conf
James Madison
5-0 · Sun Belt · FBS
63.3% · favorite
Predicted score 32
Projected
32–26
O/U 57.8
Georgia Southernhome
2-3 · Sun Belt · FBS
36.7%
Predicted score 26
63.3%win probability36.7%
Sat, Oct 10, 7:30 PM EDTJoe Aillet Stadium · Conf
Louisiana
4-1 · Sun Belt · FBS
47.3%
Predicted score 21
Projected
21–22
O/U 43.1
Louisiana Techhome
2-2 · Sun Belt · FBS
52.7% · favorite
Predicted score 22
47.3%win probability52.7%
Sat, Oct 10, 8:00 PM EDTRoss-Ade Stadium · Conf
Minnesota
4-1 · Big Ten · FBS
60.2% · favorite
Predicted score 31
Projected
31–26
O/U 56.1
Purduehome
2-3 · Big Ten · FBS
39.8%
Predicted score 26
60.2%win probability39.8%
Sat, Oct 10, 9:30 PM EDTMountain America Stadium
Hawaii
1-4 · MWC · FBS
12.1%
Predicted score 18
Projected
18–43
O/U 60.5
Arizona Statehome
2-2 · Big 12 · FBS
87.9% · favorite
Predicted score 43
12.1%win probability87.9%
Sat, Oct 10, 10:15 PM EDTRice-Eccles Stadium · Conf
Kansas
2-2 · Big 12 · FBS
20.6%
Predicted score 14
Projected
14–30
O/U 43.9
#20Utahhome
4-0 · Big 12 · FBS
79.4% · favorite
Predicted score 30
20.6%win probability79.4%
Sat, Oct 10, 10:30 PM EDTValley Children's Stadium · Conf
Boise State
4-1 · Pac-12 · FBS
61.6% · favorite
Predicted score 29
Projected
29–23
O/U 52.1
Fresno Statehome
4-1 · Pac-12 · FBS
38.4%
Predicted score 23
61.6%win probability38.4%